On NCLB, Equal Educational Opportunity and Closing Achievement Gaps1 Damian W. Betebenner Center for Assessment Dover, NH CCSSO Large Scale Assessment Conference, June 18th, 2007 Paper available at http://monticello.bc.edu/Betebenner D. Betebenner On Achievement Gaps and Equal Educational Opportunity

Introduction NCLB, EEO & Achievement Gaps No Child Left Behind Measuring EEOA Equal Educational Outcomes No Child Left Behind (NCLB) NCLB performance mandates, embedded within state accountability systems, are centrally focused on a school’s percentage of students at or above proficient. Universal proficiency mandates apply to numerous relevant subgroups. The result has been renewed attention on achievement gaps and strategies for their reduction. The mandate to close achievement gaps often goes avoids critical examination. This paper/presentation seeks: to ground the discussion of achievement gaps and their amelioration within an explicit EEO framework; and to put forward a morally compelling and quantifiable criterion by which to judge whether achievement based EEO exists. D. Betebenner On Achievement Gaps and Equal Educational Opportunity

Introduction NCLB, EEO & Achievement Gaps Conceptions of EEO Measuring EEOA Equal Educational Outcomes Equal Educational Opportunity (EEO) What is the moral imperative to close achievement gaps? This demand is built into NCLB but often goes unquestioned. The most obvious ethical foundation upon which to base the reduction of achievement gaps is Equal Educational Opportunity. That is, the existence of achievement gaps is symptomatic of a system lacking EEO. Implicit within the gap closing accountability mandates of NCLB is a very stringent notion of EEO that bears clarification. D. Betebenner On Achievement Gaps and Equal Educational Opportunity

Introduction NCLB, EEO & Achievement Gaps Conceptions of EEO Measuring EEOA Equal Educational Outcomes Formalist versus Results Based Conceptions Conceptions of EEO can roughly be divided into two groups: formalist versus results-based A formalist conception of EEO requires only the absence of formal barriers to access—for example, de jure segregation. Less stringent formalist conceptions call for equalizing various inputs (e.g., the quality of teachers, library holdings, etc.) Are formalist conceptions of EEO more aligned with deterministic or stochastic models? Formalist conceptions of EEO are currently out of favor. NCLB has ushered an emphasis on outcomes/results. D. Betebenner On Achievement Gaps and Equal Educational Opportunity

Introduction NCLB, EEO & Achievement Gaps Conceptions of EEO Measuring EEOA Equal Educational Outcomes Results Based Conceptions Results-based conceptions of EEO employ educational outcomes to ascertain whether EEO exists (e.g., achievement test scores, graduation rates, etc.) Results based conceptions different from formal approaches in that they take into account the entering characteristics of students. Results-based conceptions of EEO differ in the extent to which equality in outcomes must occur across the types of educational results (e.g., what subjects) and within those types (to what extent—equal scale scores versus equal percentages above a threshold). Strict equality of results both across and within types marks the most demanding end of the continuum. A view which nobody, to our knowledge, endorses. D. Betebenner On Achievement Gaps and Equal Educational Opportunity

Introduction NCLB, EEO & Achievement Gaps Conceptions of EEO Measuring EEOA Equal Educational Outcomes Conditional versus Unconditional Thresholds NCLB exemplifies a relatively strong results-based conception of EEO, namely an unconditional threshold conception. By 2014, without conditioning upon race, socio-economic status, gender, or prior achievement, NCLB requires all students perform at or above a state defined proficiency threshold in reading, writing, mathematics, and science. Though morally compelling, placing sole responsibility on schools to fulfill these requirements is guaranteed to fail. Our goal is to introduce a more rigorous measure of EEO based upon a conditional threshold conception that better illustrates (un)equal educational opportunity. To avoid impoverishing EEO by looking only at test results, we focus on an aspect of EEO manifest in achievement data—Equal Educational Opportunity for Achievement (EEOA) D. Betebenner On Achievement Gaps and Equal Educational Opportunity

Introduction Achievement Gaps & EEO NCLB, EEO & Achievement Gaps EEOA and DIF Measuring EEOA Opportunity for All or EEOA? Equal Educational Outcomes Threshold Stringency and EEOA Achievement Gaps and EEOA The frequent use of achievement gaps belies their unsuitability for inferences concerning EEOA Girls Girls Percent Proficient Percent Proficient Boys Boys Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 3 Grade 4 D. Betebenner On Achievement Gaps and Equal Educational Opportunity

Introduction Achievement Gaps & EEO NCLB, EEO & Achievement Gaps EEOA and DIF Measuring EEOA Opportunity for All or EEOA? Equal Educational Outcomes Threshold Stringency and EEOA Achievement Gaps and EEOA If quantifying EEOA is the goal, how can one approach this task. A reasonable criterion is that we have obtained educational equity when representatives of different racial, gender, and socioeconomic origins have about the same probabilities of reaching different educational outcomes [Levin, 1994, p. 168]. This criterion is stochastic in nature. We modify Levin’s criterion using conditional threshold conception of EEOA. EEOA requires that representatives of different racial, gender, and socioeconomic subgroups have equal chances of reaching any academic proficiency threshold conditional upon recent achievement. D. Betebenner On Achievement Gaps and Equal Educational Opportunity

Introduction Achievement Gaps & EEO NCLB, EEO & Achievement Gaps EEOA and DIF Measuring EEOA Opportunity for All or EEOA? Equal Educational Outcomes Threshold Stringency and EEOA EEOA and DIF Our notion of EEOA is very similar to DIF Probability of Reaching Threshold White African American Achievement D. Betebenner On Achievement Gaps and Equal Educational Opportunity

Introduction Achievement Gaps & EEO NCLB, EEO & Achievement Gaps EEOA and DIF Measuring EEOA Opportunity for All or EEOA? Equal Educational Outcomes Threshold Stringency and EEOA EEOA and DIF Our notion of EEOA is very similar to DIF Probability Ratio (White/African American) of Reaching Proficiency Threshold Achievement D. Betebenner On Achievement Gaps and Equal Educational Opportunity

Introduction Achievement Gaps & EEO NCLB, EEO & Achievement Gaps EEOA and DIF Measuring EEOA Opportunity for All or EEOA? Equal Educational Outcomes Threshold Stringency and EEOA Estimation Similar to DIF, logistic regression is used to estimate the probability of reaching the performance threshold. exp(b0 + b1 x + b2 g + b3 xg ) Pr(Y = 1 | X = x , G = g ) = 1 + exp(b0 + b1 x + b2 g + b3 xg ) Estimation is problematic because the dependent variable is measured with error. That is, the discreet dependent variable is subject to misclassification. Recent advances in the analysis of additive measurement error models allow for the estimation of the model parameters given known misclassification probabilities [Küchenhoff et al., 2006, Cook and Stefanski, 1994]. Estimation of model parameters was performed using the R software language with the SIMEX library [R Development Core Team, 2006]. D. Betebenner On Achievement Gaps and Equal Educational Opportunity

Introduction Achievement Gaps & EEO NCLB, EEO & Achievement Gaps EEOA and DIF Measuring EEOA Opportunity for All or EEOA? Equal Educational Outcomes Threshold Stringency and EEOA EEOA versus Opportunity for All One must distinguish equality between groups from lack of opportunity for all Probability of Reaching Threshold Acceptable 0.6 Region White African American Achievement D. Betebenner On Achievement Gaps and Equal Educational Opportunity

Introduction Achievement Gaps & EEO NCLB, EEO & Achievement Gaps EEOA and DIF Measuring EEOA Opportunity for All or EEOA? Equal Educational Outcomes Threshold Stringency and EEOA EEOA and Different Thresholds Depending upon threshold stringency, different pictures of EEOA emerge Low Proficiency Threshold Probability of Reaching Threshold White African American Achievement D. Betebenner On Achievement Gaps and Equal Educational Opportunity

Introduction Achievement Gaps & EEO NCLB, EEO & Achievement Gaps EEOA and DIF Measuring EEOA Opportunity for All or EEOA? Equal Educational Outcomes Threshold Stringency and EEOA EEOA and Different Thresholds Depending upon threshold stringency, different pictures of EEOA emerge Medium Proficiency Threshold Probability of Reaching Threshold White African American Achievement D. Betebenner On Achievement Gaps and Equal Educational Opportunity

Introduction Achievement Gaps & EEO NCLB, EEO & Achievement Gaps EEOA and DIF Measuring EEOA Opportunity for All or EEOA? Equal Educational Outcomes Threshold Stringency and EEOA EEOA and Different Thresholds Depending upon threshold stringency, different pictures of EEOA emerge High Proficiency Threshold Probability of Reaching Threshold White African American Achievement D. Betebenner On Achievement Gaps and Equal Educational Opportunity

Introduction NCLB, EEO & Achievement Gaps Two Criticisms Measuring EEOA Equal Educational Outcomes Not Demanding Enough? Two potential criticisms of EEOA are that it is not demanding enough while another is that is it too demanding. With regard to the former, it appears that EEOA, which conditions upon prior achievement, fails to close achievement gaps for groups differing at the outset. An outcomes based conception of EEO requires “parity among groups of individuals on all educational outcomes that affect an individual’s chances to enjoy other social goods [Howe, 1989, Equal probability for advanced, however, is not equivalent to adding a fixed amount to regular intervals to each group’s achievement score (i.e., equal treatment inputs). We consider the education system as an ergodic stochastic process. As such, EEOA implies that all groups will converge to the same steady state. D. Betebenner On Achievement Gaps and Equal Educational Opportunity

Introduction NCLB, EEO & Achievement Gaps Two Criticisms Measuring EEOA Equal Educational Outcomes Education as an Ergodic Social Process A depiction of convergence to steady state given EEOA Percent Proficient 40 Grade 1 Percentages: African American: 35.00 White: 65.00 Grade 12 Percentages: African American: 89.01 20 White: 93.20 Grade D. Betebenner On Achievement Gaps and Equal Educational Opportunity

Introduction NCLB, EEO & Achievement Gaps Two Criticisms Measuring EEOA Equal Educational Outcomes Too Demanding? Even after adjusting for prior achievement, we do not mean to suggest that EEOA gaps are the “fault” of bad teachers or schools. The primary purpose of our analyses is not the uncover the “blame worthy perpetrator” [Edley, 2006]. Lack of resources outside of school continue to diminish a students chances for advancement even after adjustment for prior achievement. However, the gap is something that society in toto is responsible for. Our goal is to try and put as fine a point as possible on achievement disparities and to help “marshal a consensus to narrow [them]” [Edley, 2006]. D. Betebenner On Achievement Gaps and Equal Educational Opportunity

Introduction NCLB, EEO & Achievement Gaps Two Criticisms Measuring EEOA Equal Educational Outcomes References Cook, J. R. and Stefanski, L. A. (1994). Simulation-extrapolation estimation in parametric measurement error models. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 89:1314–1328. Edley, C. (2006). Educational “Opportunity" is the highest civil rights priority. so what should researchers and lawyers do about it? Retrieved June 22, 2006 from the World Wide Web: http: //www.softconference.com/MEDIA/WMP/260407/#43.010. Howe, K. R. (1989). In defense of outcomes-based conceptions of equal educational opportunity. Educational Theory, 39(4):317–336. Küchenhoff, H., Mwalili, S. M., and Lesaffre, E. (2006). A general method for dealing with misclassification in regression: The misclassification SIMEX. Biometrics, 62:85–96. Levin, H. M. (1994). The necessary and sufficient conditions for achieving educational equity. In Berne, R. and Picus, L. O., editors, Outcome Equity in Education. Corwin Press, Inc., Thousand Oaks, California. R Development Core Team (2006). R: A language and environment for statistical computing. R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria. D. Betebenner On Achievement Gaps and Equal Educational Opportunity

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On NCLB, Equal Educational Opportunity and Closing Achievement Gaps — CCSSO, June 2007.

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