The Big Picture
Guiding Principles and Questions
The Rhode Island Growth Model
References
The Rhode Island Growth Model
Using Student Growth to Evaluate Teacher Performance
Ana Karantonis
Rhode Island Department of Education
September 23rd, 2010
Ana Karantonis The Rhode Island Growth Model
The Big Picture
The Data Revolution
Guiding Principles and Questions
Why Growth?
The Rhode Island Growth Model
Accountability and Growth
References
From a Paucity to a Plethora of Data
The Economist: The Data Deluge
Historical records of student achievement
Historical records of student demographics, teachers,
schools, educational programs, . . .
Stakeholder interest in an examination of this longitudinal
data
Interest in examining student achievement over time (student
growth) derives from data availability.
Ana Karantonis The Rhode Island Growth Model
The Big Picture
The Data Revolution
Guiding Principles and Questions
Why Growth?
The Rhode Island Growth Model
Accountability and Growth
References
The Attractiveness of Growth
What is growth and why measure it?
Student learning is a central goal of education.
Assessments of student achievement provide evidence of
the current status of student knowledge and
understanding.
Learning is demonstrated by growth in student
achievement from one point in time to another point in
time–not by status at either point time alone.
Ana Karantonis The Rhode Island Growth Model
The Big Picture
The Data Revolution
Guiding Principles and Questions
Why Growth?
The Rhode Island Growth Model
Accountability and Growth
References
Accountability & Growth
Growth versus Status
Enthusiasm for growth in accountability stems from the
belief that growth and teacher/school quality are more
closely related than status.
Enthusiasm for growth also stems from its potential
diagnostic uses.
How do we judge the use of growth related measures
within an accountability system?
Ana Karantonis The Rhode Island Growth Model
The Big Picture
Guiding Principles and Questions Guiding Principles
The Rhode Island Growth Model Guiding Questions
References
Guiding Principles
John Tukey
It is better to have an approximate answer to the right question
than a precise answer to the wrong question.
George E. P. Box
All models are wrong but some are useful.
Start at the end and work backward
The best model answers the questions of greatest relevance to
stakeholders.
Ana Karantonis The Rhode Island Growth Model
The Big Picture
Guiding Principles and Questions Guiding Principles
The Rhode Island Growth Model Guiding Questions
References
Guiding Questions
Growth models address specific questions
Different growth analysis techniques are good at
answering different questions.
It is critical to understand these different questions.
Different questions lead to different conversations which
lead to different uses and outcomes.
Changing conversations about education
Starting with the right questions simplifies development
and motivating the proper use of the growth model results.
The questions set the table for those conversations. See
Yen (2007) for an excellent list of questions derived from a
survey of parents, teachers and administrators
Ana Karantonis The Rhode Island Growth Model
The Big Picture
Describing Student Growth
Guiding Principles and Questions
Growth & Effectiveness
The Rhode Island Growth Model
Next Steps
References
The Rhode Island Growth Model
How much growth did a student make? Is it enough?
The Rhode Island Growth Model uses Student Growth
Percentiles [Betebenner, 2008, Betebenner, 2009] to
quantify individual student growth.
This approach was developed and used by Colorado and
is currently being employed in Massachusetts, Indiana,
Virginia, and more than a dozen other states.
Rhode Island has been investigating the model for uses
with school improvement for the last 2 years.
An important aspect of the model is that it separates the
description of growth from discussions of
responsibility/accountability.
Ana Karantonis The Rhode Island Growth Model
The Big Picture
Describing Student Growth
Guiding Principles and Questions
Growth & Effectiveness
The Rhode Island Growth Model
Next Steps
References
Describing Student Growth
Discussing student growth, even with a vertical scale (which
NECAP does not possess), is not a simple task.
Some believe a vertical scale simplifies the task of measuring
student growth.
Even with an interval (or ratio) scale, growth and change
require context. Consider, for example, height.
A child might grow 4 inches between ages 3 and 4.
4 inches is a well understood quantity.
The 4 inch increase becomes really meaningful only when
understood alongside the growth of other 3 to 4 year olds.
Student growth percentiles were developed to provide a
norm-referenced basis for describing student growth.
Ana Karantonis The Rhode Island Growth Model
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The Big Picture
Describing Student Growth
Guiding Principles and Questions
Growth & Effectiveness
The Rhode Island Growth Model
Next Steps
References
Student Growth Percentiles
Should we be surprised with a child’s current achievement given
their prior achievement?
Student growth percentiles (SGPs) answer this question.
Consider a low achieving student with 90th percentile growth
and a high achieving student with 10th percentile growth.
The low achieving student grew at a rate exceeding 90 percent
of similar students.
The high achieving student grew at a rate exceeding just 10
percent of similar students.
The low achiever’s growth is more exemplary (probabilistically)
than the high achiever’s.
Judgments about the adequacy of student growth require
external criteria together with standard setting.
Ana Karantonis The Rhode Island Growth Model
Advanced Reading
High
Achievement
CSAP Reading
● Typical
Scale Score
Proficient Growth
Low
● Level Percentiles
High 66th − 99th
Typical 35th − 65th
Part Proficient
● Low 1st − 34th
Unsatisfactory
Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Grade 6 Next Year
Scale Score 462 539 563 609
Achievement Level Unsatisfactory Part Proficient Part Proficient Proficient Achievement
Growth Percentile 66 66 90
Growth Level High High High Growth
The Big Picture
Describing Student Growth
Guiding Principles and Questions
Growth & Effectiveness
The Rhode Island Growth Model
Next Steps
References
From Students to Groups of Students
Aristotle
We understand best those things we see emerge from their very
beginnings.
It’s of interest to examine teachers and schools where
students demonstrate, on average, extraordinarily high and
low student growth.
To summarize the student growth percentiles (SGPs)
associated with a school (or other grouping) one calculates
the median of the student growth percentiles.
Median SGPs can be calculated for one or several years
across single and multiple subjects.
Ana Karantonis The Rhode Island Growth Model
The Big Picture
Describing Student Growth
Guiding Principles and Questions
Growth & Effectiveness
The Rhode Island Growth Model
Next Steps
References
From Students to Groups of Students
Based upon random sampling of SGPs, one expects to see a
median of 50.
Values greatly above or below 50 are of interest in identifying
best practices or providing extra support.
Rhode Island is currently working on details of how these
results will be associated with teachers.
Based upon our work with schools, examining growth with
achievement sheds new light on school performance.
Ana Karantonis The Rhode Island Growth Model
Rhode Island: 2009 NECAP Growth & Achievement
Growth and Achievement Reading Performance by School Poverty
100 Higher Achievement X
Higher Achievement School Size
90 Lower Growth X
X XX
XX
Higher Growth 50 Students
X X X XX X
X XX 100 Students
X XX
X X XX
X X X XX XXX XX XX
XX XX XX
X X X X X X 250 Students
XXXX XX
XX X
X X X XX X X
X XXXXXX XX X X XX X 500 Students
X XX
2009 Percent at/above Proficient
XX X XX X XXXXX X
XX XXX
XX X X
70 X X XX XX X X
X X XX
X X XX
X XXX X X
X XX
X XX X X X X
XX Percent Free/Reduced
X XXX X
X XXX X X X Lunch Students
X XXX X
X XX
X ● Less than 20 percent
40 X XX
XX X
X X ● 20 to 40 percent
● 40 to 60 percent
● 60 to 80 percent
20 ● More than 80 percent
Lower Growth X
Higher Growth
0 Lower Achievement Lower Achievement
2009 Median Student Growth Percentile
Rhode Island: 2009 NECAP Growth & Achievement
Growth and Achievement NECAP Math Performance by School Poverty
100 Higher Achievement Higher Achievement School Size
90 Lower Growth X
X XX X
Higher Growth 50 Students
X 100 Students
XX
XX 250 Students
80 XX
X X XX X XX
XX
X X XX X X 500 Students
2009 Percent at/above Proficient
XX X X
X X X X XXX X X X XX X
70 X X X XXX XX X
X XX X X XXXX XXX
X XXX X X XX X
X X X X XX XXXXXX X
60 XX X X X X
X XX X X XX XX
XXX
X X X Percent Free/Reduced
X XX
X X XXXX X
X X X Lunch Students
XX X X X X
● Less than 20 percent
XX
XX X
40 XX X
X XXXX X
● 20 to 40 percent
XXX X XX X
X X X X X XX XX
X ● 40 to 60 percent
X X XX X
X X ● 60 to 80 percent
20 X X ● More than 80 percent
Lower Growth X
Higher Growth
0 Lower Achievement
Lower Achievement
2009 Median Student Growth Percentile
The Big Picture
Describing Student Growth
Guiding Principles and Questions
Growth & Effectiveness
The Rhode Island Growth Model
Next Steps
References
Growth, Effectiveness, and Value-Added
Fundamental Premise
“Good” schools or teachers bring about student growth in ex-
cess of that found at “bad” schools or teachers.
In Rhode Island, “good” teachers are called highly effective
teachers.
What’s the relationship between growth and effectiveness?
Effectiveness indicates who/what is responsible for the growth
(value-added models).
Assuming the above premise is, at least, partly true. How do
we judge the correctness of a value-added model?
Ana Karantonis The Rhode Island Growth Model
The Big Picture
Describing Student Growth
Guiding Principles and Questions
Growth & Effectiveness
The Rhode Island Growth Model
Next Steps
References
Next Steps for Growth Data in Rhode Island
Use of student growth for teacher evaluation has expedited
work on and use of the Rhode Island Growth Model.
RIDE is in the process of linking student NECAP data to
unique teacher identifiers.
In the coming weeks, RIDE will use preliminary teacher
identifiers in a few districts to look at student growth for
teachers.
These preliminary results will be used to understand a range
of issues including:
The integrity of the teacher student links in the data files.
The number of student NECAP results associated with
teachers in a given year (minimum n).
Empirical results to help set cuts distinguishing teacher
performance.
Ana Karantonis The Rhode Island Growth Model
The Big Picture
Guiding Principles and Questions
The Rhode Island Growth Model
References
References
Betebenner, D. W. (2008).
Toward a normative understanding of student growth.
In Ryan, K. E. and Shepard, L. A., editors, The Future of
Test-Based Educational Accountability, pages 155–170. Taylor
& Francis, New York.
Betebenner, D. W. (2009).
Norm- and criterion-referenced student growth.
Educational Measurement: Issues and Practice, 28(4):42–51.
Yen, W. M. (2007).
Vertical scaling and No Child Left Behind.
In Dorans, N. J., Pommerich, M., and Holland, P. W., editors,
Linking and Aligning Scores and Scales, pages 273–283.
Springer, New York.
Ana Karantonis The Rhode Island Growth Model
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The Rhode Island Growth Model: Using Student Growth to Evaluate Teacher Performance — Rhode Island Department of Education, September 2010.
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