Indiana 2023 Academic Recovery Damian Betebenner The National Center for the Improvement of Educational Assessment July 3rd, 2023 IDOE Weekly Update This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.

A Timeline of the Pandemic Pandemic Begins Spring 2019 Spring 2020 Spring 2021 Spring 2022 Spring 2023 Pre-pandemic (No testing) Academic Impact Academic Recovery Academic Recovery • Three years on from the onset of the pandemic, concerns regarding the academic impact of the pandemic on students. • Thus far, Indiana state assessment data (ILEARN and WIDA-ACCESS) indicate large to severe academic impacts and little recovery (stabilization) through 2022. • The release of NAEP data in 2022 (with pre-pandemic comparisons to 2019) has only amplified concerns about the impact of the pandemic on students. Pandemic Related Academic Recovery in Indiana 2

Academic Impact & Recovery • The pandemic and all the ensuing disruptions functioned/ functions as an “academic headwind”, impeding (in general) the academic progress of students. • This is Academic Impact and shows up in educational assessments as: ▪ Decrease in student growth (i.e. decrease in velocity = deceleration). ▪ Decrease in student attainment. • Academic Recovery would show up in education assessments as an increase in student growth (i.e., increase in velocity = acceleration) leading to an increase in student attainment. Pandemic Related Academic Recovery in Indiana 3

Assessment Data • As in 2021 and 2022, to investigate academic recovery in 2023 we utilized two primary sources of data • ILEARN state summative assessment data • WIDA-ACCESS state English Language Proficiency Data • For attainment comparisons, 2023 data is compared to 2019 data. • For growth comparisons, current growth data (2022 to 2023) is compared to pre-pandemic growth data (2018 to 2019). Pandemic Related Academic Recovery in Indiana 4

Last Year I Mentioned Cautions Going Forward • Maintaining scales to pre-pandemic years will increasingly become challenging for states. • Two views of returning to “normal” • Is the education system returning to normal? • Are students impacted by the pandemic returning to normal? • The education system returning to normal means the education system supports rates of student learning consistent with what was observed pre- pandemic. • The education system can return to “normal” without student returning to normal. • To catch-up to where they would have been academically, students must learn at rates exceeding what was observed pre-pandemic. Pandemic Related Academic Recovery in Indiana 5

Attainment Over Time: Are Students Recovering ELA Pandemic Related Academic Recovery in Indiana 6

Attainment Over Time: Are Students Recovering Mathematics Pandemic Related Academic Recovery in Indiana 7

Growth Over Time: Is the system recovering ELA Pandemic Related Academic Recovery in Indiana 8

Growth Over Time: Is the system recovering Mathematics Pandemic Related Academic Recovery in Indiana 9

Big Picture • As we found last year, the Indiana’s education system has, on average, “recovered” to support rates of learning that it did pre- pandemic. To avoid confusion with “student recovery”, we called this “stabilization” • In 2023, the system followed trend with 2022 and demonstrated, on average, rates of growth consistent with what was observed pre- pandemic. • Given the academic losses incurred by students from 2019 to 2021, typical progress is not, in general, sufficient for student recovery. • Thus, individual students continue to fall below 2019 attainment levels. Pandemic Related Academic Recovery in Indiana 10

Big Picture • Averages can mask important heterogeneity. • The following illustration dig deeper into how particular demographic subgroups are doing. • Note that attainment is a lagging indicator to growth. That is, in order for higher attainment to occur, higher rates of growth (i.e., learning) must precede it. Pandemic Related Academic Recovery in Indiana 11

2022-2023: Academic Recovery Year 2 ILEARN ELA and Mathematics Indiana 2022 to 2023 COVID⌧19 Academic Recovery Grade & Content Area Deterioration Recovery −30 −7 10 30 Growth Change −0.38 −0.09 0.12 0.38 Status Change Calculations suppressed Deterioration Stabilization Recovery due to small group N (< 50) ELA Mathematics Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Grade 6 Grade 7 Grade 8 Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Grade 6 Grade 7 Grade 8 All Students Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Economically Disadvantaged Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Non−Economically Disadvantaged Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization African American Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Asian Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Deterioration Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization White Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Hispanic Deterioration Stabilization Deterioration Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization ELL Deterioration Stabilization Deterioration Deterioration Stabilization Deterioration Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Special Education Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Deterioration Stabilization Deterioration Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Recovery Stabilization Recovery Female Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Male Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Pandemic Related Academic Impact in Indiana 12

2022-2023: Academic Recovery Year 2 ILEARN ELA and Mathematics Indiana 2022 to 2023 COVID⌧19 Academic Recovery Grade, Content Area & Achievement Quintile Deterioration Recovery −30 −7 10 30 Growth Change NOTE: Quintiles for each student −0.38 −0.09 0.12 0.38 Status Change subgroup are based upon quintile Calculations suppressed cuts defined for All Students. Deterioration Stabilization Recovery due to small group N (< 50) Box width indicates group proportion. ELA Mathematics Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Grade 6 Grade 7 Grade 8 Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Grade 6 Grade 7 Grade 8 Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile All Students Economically Disadvantaged Non−Economically Disadvantaged African American Asian White Hispanic ELL Special Education Female Male Pandemic Related Academic Recovery in Indiana 13

2021-2022: Academic Recovery Year 1 ILEARN ELA and Mathematics Indiana 2021 to 2022 COVID⌧19 Academic Recovery Grade & Content Area Deterioration Recovery −30 −7 10 30 Growth Change −0.38 −0.09 0.12 0.38 Status Change Calculations suppressed Deterioration Stabilization Recovery due to small group N (< 50) ELA Mathematics Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Grade 6 Grade 7 Grade 8 Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Grade 6 Grade 7 Grade 8 All Students Stabilization Stabilization Deterioration Deterioration Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Deterioration Stabilization Stabilization Economically Disadvantaged Stabilization Stabilization Deterioration Deterioration Stabilization Deterioration Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Deterioration Stabilization Deterioration Non−Economically Disadvantaged Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Deterioration Stabilization Stabilization African American Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Deterioration Stabilization Stabilization Recovery Stabilization Stabilization Deterioration Stabilization Deterioration Asian Stabilization Stabilization Deterioration Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization White Stabilization Stabilization Deterioration Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Deterioration Stabilization Stabilization Hispanic Stabilization Stabilization Deterioration Deterioration Stabilization Deterioration Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Deterioration Stabilization Deterioration ELL Stabilization Stabilization Deterioration Deterioration Deterioration Deterioration Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Deterioration Deterioration Special Education Stabilization Stabilization Deterioration Deterioration Stabilization Deterioration Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Female Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Deterioration Stabilization Stabilization Male Stabilization Stabilization Deterioration Deterioration Stabilization Deterioration Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Pandemic Related Academic Impact in Indiana 14

2021-2022: Academic Recovery Year 1 ILEARN ELA and Mathematics Indiana 2021 to 2022 COVID⌧19 Academic Recovery Grade, Content Area & Achievement Quintile Deterioration Recovery −30 −7 10 30 Growth Change NOTE: Quintiles for each student −0.38 −0.09 0.12 0.38 Status Change subgroup are based upon quintile Calculations suppressed cuts defined for All Students. Deterioration Stabilization Recovery due to small group N (< 50) Box width indicates group proportion. ELA Mathematics Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Grade 6 Grade 7 Grade 8 Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Grade 6 Grade 7 Grade 8 Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile All Students Economically Disadvantaged Non−Economically Disadvantaged African American Asian White Hispanic ELL Special Education Female Male Pandemic Related Academic Impact in Indiana 15

2020-2021: Academic Impact ELA And Mathematics Indiana 2019 to 2021 COVID⌧19 Academic Impact Grade, Content Area & Achievement Quintile Impact Recovery −40 −25 −15 −5 5 20 Growth Change NOTE: Quintiles for each student −0.55 −0.4 −0.25 −0.1 0.05 0.2 Status Change subgroup are based upon quintile Modest Calculations suppressed cuts defined for All Students. Severe Large Moderate to Improvement None due to small group N (< 50) Box width indicates group proportion. ELA Mathematics Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Grade 6 Grade 7 Grade 8 Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Grade 6 Grade 7 Grade 8 Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile All Students Economically Disadvantaged Students Non−Economically Disadvantaged Students African American Students Asian Students White Students Hispanic Students ELL Students Special Education Students Female Students Male Students Pandemic Related Academic Recovery in Indiana 16

2021-2022: Academic Recovery Year 2 WIDA ACCESS WIDA⌧ACCESS Composite WIDA IN 2022 to 2023 COVID⌧19 Academic Recovery Grade & Content Area Deterioration Recovery −30 −7 10 30 Growth Change −0.38 −0.09 0.12 0.38 Status Change Calculations suppressed Deterioration Stabilization Recovery due to small group N (< 50) WIDA−ACCESS Composite Grade 0 Grade 1 Grade 2 Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Grade 6 Grade 7 Grade 8 Grade 9 Grade 10 Grade 11 Grade 12 All Students Stabilization Deterioration Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Deterioration Deterioration Stabilization Deterioration Deterioration Deterioration WIDA ACCESS WIDA⌧ACCESS Composite WIDA IN 2022 to 2023 COVID⌧19 Academic Recovery Grade, Content Area & Achievement Quintile Deterioration Recovery −30 −7 10 30 Growth Change −0.38 −0.09 0.12 0.38 Status Change Calculations suppressed Deterioration Stabilization Recovery due to small group N (< 50) WIDA−ACCESS Composite Grade 0 Grade 1 Grade 2 Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Grade 6 Grade 7 Grade 8 Grade 9 Grade 10 Grade 11 Grade 12 Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile All Students Pandemic Related Academic Recovery in Indiana 17

2021-2022: Academic Recovery Year 1 WIDA ACCESS WIDA⌧ACCESS Composite WIDA IN 2021 to 2022 COVID⌧19 Academic Recovery Grade & Content Area Deterioration Recovery −30 −7 10 30 Growth Change −0.55 −0.07 0.1 0.2 Status Change Calculations suppressed Deterioration Stabilization Recovery due to small group N (< 50) WIDA−ACCESS Composite Grade 0 Grade 1 Grade 2 Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Grade 6 Grade 7 Grade 8 Grade 9 Grade 10 Grade 11 Grade 12 All Students Stabilization Deterioration Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Stabilization Deterioration Deterioration Deterioration Deterioration Deterioration WIDA⌧ACCESS Composite WIDA IN 2021 to 2022 COVID⌧19 Academic Recovery Grade, Content Area & Achievement Quintile Deterioration Recovery −30 −7 10 30 Growth Change −0.55 −0.07 0.1 0.2 Status Change Calculations suppressed Deterioration Stabilization Recovery due to small group N (< 50) WIDA−ACCESS Composite Grade 0 Grade 1 Grade 2 Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Grade 6 Grade 7 Grade 8 Grade 9 Grade 10 Grade 11 Grade 12 Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile All Students Pandemic Related Academic Recovery in Indiana 18

2020-2021: Academic Recovery Year 2 WIDA ACCESS WIDA⌧ACCESS Composite WIDA IN 2020 to 2021 COVID⌧19 Academic Impact Grade & Content Area Impact Recovery −40 −25 −15 −5 5 20 Growth Change −0.55 −0.4 −0.25 −0.1 0.05 0.2 Status Change Modest Calculations suppressed Severe Large Moderate to Improvement None due to small group N (< 50) WIDA−ACCESS Composite Grade 0 Grade 1 Grade 2 Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Grade 6 Grade 7 Grade 8 Grade 9 Grade 10 Grade 11 Grade 12 All Students Moderate Large Moderate Large Large Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Moderate Modest to None Modest to None Improvement WIDA⌧ACCESS Composite WIDA IN 2020 to 2021 COVID⌧19 Academic Impact Grade, Content Area & Achievement Quintile Impact Recovery −40 −25 −15 −5 5 20 Growth Change −0.55 −0.4 −0.25 −0.1 0.05 0.2 Status Change Modest Calculations suppressed Severe Large Moderate to Improvement None due to small group N (< 50) WIDA−ACCESS Composite Grade 0 Grade 1 Grade 2 Grade 3 Grade 4 Grade 5 Grade 6 Grade 7 Grade 8 Grade 9 Grade 10 Grade 11 Grade 12 Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile Quintile All Students Pandemic Related Academic Recovery in Indiana 19

Summary • There is a modest improvement in results, overall, from 2021-2022 and 2022-2023 • However, rates of growth for most students are insufficient to catch them up to where they would have been had the pandemic not occurred. • In most grades and content areas lower achieving students are demonstrating rates of learning below what was seen pre-pandemic whereas their high achieving counterparts are demonstration rates of learning above what was seen pre-pandemic. • This suggest a K-shaped recovery where, on average, low achieving students don’t recover and their higher achieving counterparts do. Pandemic Related Academic Impact in Indiana 20

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Indiana 2023 Academic Recovery — Indiana Department of Education, July 3, 2023.

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